Friday, March 11, 2016

Interest Rates and Monetary Policy

The Fed has many “tools” to help run the US banking and money supply systems.
 

The main tools:
  • The buying and selling of Bonds
  • The Discount Rate 
  • The Reserve Requirement
The Fed's PRIMARY influence is on the money supply and interest rates

interest: the price paid for the use of money


Demand for Money
  • people demand money for   
    • transactions  
    • assets 
inverses relationship between b/t interest rate and the quantity of money demanded
 
Supply of Money 

  • inelastic (set by the Fed)
  • manipulated by the Fed
Supply and demand for money gives 
us the nominal interest rate.
A Selection of Different Interest Rates
Fed Funds Rate
  • Background on the FFR  
    • Cash in the vault earns no interest  
    • banks don't like to let excess reserves sit idle 
    • loan money to each other overnight  
    • (in order to balance deposit accounts each day) 
  • FFR is the interest rate they use to loan each other this money
  • The Federal Reserve "targets" this rate by suggesting its raising or lowering and uses bonds to accomplish the targets.
  • The FFR influences other interest rates, so if you can adjust it, you can adjust interest rates overall.
Prime Rate

  • the interest rate banks charge their most "credit worthy" borrowers.
  • Historically, the prime rate, in the US, has been set about 3% above the Fed Fund Rate.
Private Rates
  • These loan rates are set by supply and demand
  • Examples: 
    • car companies "selling" "zero interest" loans, 
    • special student rate loans, etc.
    • Payday lenders 
  • Any rate below the Fed Fund Rate probably has some kind of financial trick attached to the contract.
 Monetary Policy: The central bank's attempts to influence the economy through manipulating the money supply.  
most common tool: buying and selling bonds 

A brief word about bonds
  • Bond: contract promising to repay borrowed money on a designated date and to pay interest on the way. (An IOU) 
  • bonds are a type of security; a tradable financial asset 
  • (Bonds can be bought and sold on the bond market)
  • high liquid assets 

Two "modes" of Monetary Policy
1. Expansionary policy

  • increases the total supply of money in the economy more rapidly than usual 
used to try to combat unemployment in a recession 
  • lowering interest rates to encourage borrowing and spending
  • increase in AD, expand real output
  • "easy money"
Lower the FFR, open market operations
  • buy bonds = big bucks
  • increase reserves in the banking system 
  • increase the money supply

2. Restrictive policy
  • expands the money supply more slowly than usual or even shrinks it. 
Used to fight inflation (avoid the resulting distortions and deterioration of asset values)
  • "tight money"
  • increase the interest rate to reduce borrowing and spending
  • slow the expansion of AD, hold down PL increases 
Raise the FFR, Open Market Operations (normally)
  • Sell bonds  = small bucks
  • absorb reserves in the banking system 
  • decrease the money supply
Recall our other tools. How might these be used?
  • The Discount Rate 
  • The Reserve Requirement

The Discount Rate
  • FDIC member banks, and other eligible institutions, may borrow short term loans directly from the Federal Reserve.  
  • This is the "discount window", and is set above the Fed Fund Rate.
  • Banks do not like to use the window, since it appears to be a move of "last resort"
  • Set by the Fed