Tuesday, February 2, 2016

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Basics

Background / Basics
  • The measures were created in the 1930’s.
  • Until the 1990’s, Gross National Product was the federal measure of the economy.
 Key terms to know:
    “Gross” = Totals before adjustments (inflation’s effect)
    “National Product” = Production owned by US companies
    “Domestic Product” = Production in the US, even if foreign owned
 

GDP is officially measured in “quarters” of years:
    Quarter 1 = Jan/Feb/Mar
    Quarter 2 = Apr/May/June
    Quarter 3 = July/Aug/Sep
    Quarter 4 = Oct/Nov/Dec
 

Calculating GDP
“Expenditures” Approach
 C + Ig + G + Xn
  • aggregates spending on production
  • all spending on goods and services in the economy 
C = Personal Consumption in the economy
  • (67% of the Economy !!!)
  • The purchases of finished goods and services (but not houses)
  • durable goods: anything expected to last three years or more
  • nondurable goods: consumables like food, soap,


Ig = Gross Private Business Investment monies:
  • Factory equipment maintenance,
  • New factory equipment,
  • Construction of housing,
  • Unsold inventory of products built in a year, but not sold that year
G = Government Spending:
  • Government purchases of products and services

Xn = Net Foreign Factor of Trade:  Exports minus Imports
  • Exports = Dollars in, Imports = Dollars out
  • (Post WWII, Xn has usually been a negative number: Trade Deficit)
Aggregate Income Approach
adds up all the income earned by resource suppliers in the economy. 


Items that DO NOT Count in GDP: 

  • Used goods/Second-Hand goods
  • Gifts or “Transfers” (Private or Public)
  • Stock/Equity/Securities purchases (places like the NYSE, NASDAQ)
  • Unreported business activities conducted in “cash” (unreported tips...)
  • Illegal activities (underground markets)
  • Financial transactions between banks and businesses
  • Intermediate goods” (no double counting) 
  • “Non market” activities like volunteer and family work
Things Missed by GDP Calculation
  • household production
  • underground economy (stated above)
  • Standard of Living 
    • leisure - no way to count time off
    • quality - a good is a good is a good, no accounting for better goods and services or more of them.
  • Depreciation
    • value of capital stock that is used up or becomes obsolete in producing GDP
  • Externalities
Nominal vs. Real GDP
Dollar values change because of inflation / deflation. 
Makes year to year comparisons difficult.

  • Nominal GDP is in current dollars, not adjusted for inflation. 
  • Real GDP is adjusted for inflation in terms of a base year. 
(more on inflation later)