Tuesday, April 26, 2016

BoP and FOREX

(Balance of Payments and Foreign Exchange)
 

First, some differentiation
  • Balance of Trade: looks only at a nation's exports and imports of goods.
  • Balance of Payments: considers all economic transfers.

For the current and capital accounts:

  • if foreign currency is used to complete the transaction, it is a debt (negative)
  • if foreign currency is earned in a transaction, it is a credit (positive)
Trade requires nations to exchange currencies 
  • exchange rate: the price of one currency in terms of another. Generally set by supply and demand.
Appreciation:
  • increase in the value of a nation's currency in foreign exchange markets
  • tends to reduce exports and increase imports
Depreciation:
  • decrease in the value of a nation's currency in foreign exchange markets
  • tends to increase exports and decrease imports

Monetary and Fiscal policies can affect exchange rates, and therefore the international balance of trade and balance of payments. 


Recall: Three rules for S/D of currency graphs
  • Always change the D line on one currency graph, the S line on the other currency’s graph. 
  • Move the lines of the two currency graphs the same direction. (demand moves out, supply moves out, etc.)
  • One currency will appreciate, the other will depreciate. 
Recall: Shifters of currency supply and demand 
    • taste and preferences  
      • demand for products increases
      • so will demand for currency  
      • cell phones, other electronics, etc.   
    • price level (inflation
      • consumers will seek cheaper goods if domestic prices rise 
    • income 
      • imports vary directly with its income level 
      • income rises, people buy more domestic good and more foreign goods.  
    • real interest rates
      • higher real interest rates will attract investment as foreigners seek higher returns